
The Iran war is "testing the resilience of the global economy," and is set to dampen economic growth this year, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said in a report released on Thursday.
Global growth is forecast to slow to 2.9% this year before edging back up to 3.0% in 2027, according to the OECD.
The unpredictable trajectory of the Middle East conflict was driving up costs and dampening demand, offsetting the positive impetus from investment in new technologies and the momentum carried over from the previous year, it said.
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and damage to energy infrastructure had caused a sharp rise in energy prices and disrupted supplies of other key materials such as fertilizer, according to the OECD.
The scale and duration of the conflict were highly uncertain, but a prolonged period of higher energy prices would significantly increase costs for businesses and consumer prices, with negative consequences for growth, the OECD said.
The "evolving conflict [...] generates significant uncertainty around global demand," it said.
In the US, growth is expected to slow from 2.0% this year to 1.7% next year, the OECD forecast, as strong investment in artificial intelligence is gradually offset by a slowdown in income growth and consumer spending.
In the eurozone, the OECD expects growth to slow to 0.8% this year before recovering to 1.2% in 2027, boosted by higher defence spending.
In China, growth is projected to fall to 4.4% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027.
The conflict was also weighing on the growth of the German economy, which the OECD said would grow by only 0.8% this year - 0.2 percentage points less than forecast in its previous economic outlook in December.
Growth of 1.5% is still expected for 2027, unchanged from the previous forecast.
latest_posts
- 1
Civil rights leader Jesse Jackson hospitalized, family requests prayers - 2
Hamas demanded displaced Gazans pay rent on beach tents amid torrential downpour, IDF reveals - 3
National health ranking puts Georgia near bottom of list. Here's why - 4
Monetary Freedom Guide: Plan Your Future - 5
Reports: Germany plans expansion of foreign intelligence powers
Make your choice for the PS5 game that you love playing with companions!
Instructions to Shield Your Gold Speculation from Possible Dangers: Fundamental Protections
Vote In favor of Your #1 sort of film
Steinmeier honours Italian 'guest workers' who rebuilt German economy
RFK Jr. releases new dietary guidelines with emphasis on protein, full-fat dairy
New Jordan security fence could be done in early 2028
Pentagon advances Golden Dome missile defense with new Space Force contracts
Telecommute Arrangement: What's Pivotal for Your Efficiency?
100 new alien worlds: Scientists find hidden haul in data from NASA exoplanet-hunting spacecraft













